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Category Archives: Graphs
Prisoner’s Dilemma Solution
This video has been making the rounds, I first saw it on Bruce Schneier’s blog, and it’s an absolutely amazing (though non-repeatable) solution to the Prisoner’s Dilemma as presented on a British game show: The Original Game Setup That’s the … Continue reading
Posted in Foxy Links, Graphs
Tagged Foxy links, Game Shows, Game Theory, Prisoner's Dilemma, Split or Stal, Videos
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The Long Tail
*Sigh.* I clicked the link, so they accomplished their goal of driving site views, but this article highlights the worst sort of prognosticating: Pew surveyed a selection of academics, authors, and other experts, asking them questions about the future of … Continue reading
Posted in Foxy Links, Graphs
Tagged cash, credit cards, Digital currency, Predictions, surveys
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Climate Prediction from 1980
Interesting graph showing a prediction on climate change made in 1980: Science lives for the “falsifiable hypothesis” — a claim that can be tested against the evidence — and that is what the paper by Hansen and his colleagues offered … Continue reading
Marriage Crunch
The whole “Thinking Like a Fox” comes from Philip Tetlock’s work at UPENN, where he’s found that prediction makers tend to be most wrong when they make broad, unequivocated statements. The problem is that when a person makes a prediction that’s … Continue reading
Ought vs. Need
I don’t watch Mad Men, so this article detailing the modern linguistic choices that creep into the 60′s-set show didn’t really grab me, but the chart used at the end was pretty interesting: via the Atlantic I’m not a linguistic … Continue reading
Yale Tuition for the Libertarian Crowd
This article from the Atlantic points out an interesting chart – the cost to attend Yale undergrad, measured in grams of gold, is unchanged since 1900 – it has fluctuated wildly since then, but currently gold’s value is at historic … Continue reading
Accuracy of Polls
Interesting article from the NY Times on the accuracy of primary polling and the dangers of using them too far away from the election itself: the polls have been pretty awful at most points prior to about three days before … Continue reading
Anatomy of a hedgehog
From a 2009 CNN interview with this blog’s inspiration, Philip Tetlock: How do you know whether a talking head is a fox or a hedgehog? Count how often they press the brakes on trains of thought. Foxes often qualify their … Continue reading
Posted in Graphs, Seer of Seers
Tagged Economics, predictions. Think Like a Fox, Tetlock
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On global warming
The Earth is getting warmer The warming is being substantively driven by the actions of man CO2 emissions specifically are the driving factor in the warming caused by man Warming will have substantial negative effects on human life The negative … Continue reading
Momentum Shift
No, not that one…THIS momentum shift….I already blogged about how SOPA/PIPA is effectively dead in their current forms, but I just really like this infographic: There’s been a lot said about the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of the internet “blackout.” … Continue reading
