The inspiration for this blog is in large part the work of Philip Tetlock, an expert on political judgment and predictions. He argues that one of the reasons predictions are so bad is that no one holds any one else accountable for making bad predictions. Here, I’ll try to hold myself accountable, and link to all my “prediction” posts. At some point, I’ll get it together to give myself a grade card on how I did, and post that here as well.
Prediction
