Gingrich has come right out and said what’s become obvious to anyone with a map and an abacus: the only way for him to win is at the convention, so the only way for him to win is keep Romney from getting to 1144.
I’ve got a post planned for a little later today on what I think the strategy for Santorum/Gingrich should be to make that happen, but for now I want to look at what the Romney camp and his supporters at the National level are saying about the possibility:
This Op-ed at the Washington Post is pretty disappointing – the argument is “There’s no way a brokered convention is going to happen”, but the evidence presented is all along the lines of “A brokered convention would be BAD if it happened, so it won’t.” This one at National Review Online is a little better – I particularly like this analogy:
If this was match play golf, Rick Santorum would be seven shots down with six holes to play. He has indeed played the last three holes wonderfully well, winning in Kansas, Mississippi, and Alabama, but Romney’s sweeps in the far flung islands of Guam and the U.S. Virgin Islands, his wins in Hawaii and American Samoa, plus the former Massachusetts governor’s relatively strong showing in the southern brace of states means that over the past week the delegate math didn’t change and neither did the inevitable result of the GOP nominating contest.
The only flaw in the analogy is that in THIS golf game, Romney has a particular score he has to get in order to avoid a play-off round. For his part, Romney is sticking with the mathematical argument that the other candidates just don’t have a path to 1144 – while true, it hardly captures the imagination of the base.