Global Warming Predictions

I’ve previously blogged about my reluctance to come down hard one way another on either the science or economics of global warming – both are way too complicated for even an expert to be sure of their findings, and I’m definitely not an expert in either one. So I’m not surprised when a surprising finding like this one comes along:

Some glaciers in the Himalayas mountain range have gained a small amount of mass between 1999 and 2008, new research shows, bucking the global trend of glacial decline.

The study published on Sunday in the Nature Geoscience journal also said the Karakoram mountainrange in the Himalayas has contributed less to sea level rise than previously thought….

The research at France‘s University of Grenoble estimates that the Karakoram glaciers have gained around 0.11 to 0.22 metres (0.36 feet to 0.72 feet) per year between 1999 and 2008.

“Our conclusion that Karakoram glaciers had a small mass gain at the beginning of the 21st century indicates that those central/eastern glaciers are not representative of the whole (Himalayas),” the experts at the university said.

The study appears to confirm earlier research that had suggested the Karakoram glaciers have not followed the global trend of glacial decline over the past three decades. The mountain range’s remoteness had made it hard to confirm its behavior.

This is, of course, not in and of itself a refutation of global warming – there are always going to be outliers and weird results when dealing with a complex system like climate. But it definitely gives one pause when you look at the dire and certain predictions of the radical environmental movement.

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About thinklikeafox

I'm a Naval Officer living in Southern California. I hope to be attending law school in the next year or two, and I started writing this blog out of a desire to improve my writing and critical thinking skills after a couple years outside of academia.
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